The Success Rate Of A Trading Setup – The Hammer

Feb 042014
 
The Success Rate Of A Trading Setup - The Hammer

The Description Of A Trading Setup The description of a trading setup can be as simple as “When a stock hits a new 52 Wk high, then…” – Or – As complex as one that requires four or more conditions to occur.  A Trading Setup is a description of ALL conditions necessary for an Entry Signal [...]

The Most Important Element In Successful Trading

Mar 142013
 
The Most Important Element In Successful Trading

Position Sizing – The Perfect Name For Limiting Risk Position Sizing is THE MOST IMPORTANT ELEMENT IN SUCCESSFUL TRADING. Without it, you will blow up your trading account – guaranteed. You can be using a system with an 85% probability of success and without proper position sizing you can lose a major portion of your [...]

The Coin Flip Test And Trade Probability

Mar 122013
 
The Coin Flip Test And Trade Probability

How Many Losing Trades Can I Get in a Row? First, the principle is the same, whether it’s a winning streak or a losing streak. Second, the answer is not what you think. I’m telling you right now – “This Is Really Important!”. This is a really important concept for you to understand before you [...]

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Trading or investing in stocks, futures, commodities, index futures, options, spot currency or any other securities involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all users of the Site. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to trade in any financial market or securities. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on the Site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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All performance results published on the Site regarding any trading system or methodology are generated by computerized backtesting and are therefore considered "Hypothetical or Simulated Performance Results" and do not represent trading in actual accounts.

CFTC RULE Rule4.41(b)(1)(ii) HYPOTHETICAL AND SIMULATED PERFORMANCE DISCLAIMER
 

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.